Strategy library · crypto
Triple screen (one chart)
Trade with the tide, enter on the wave: take longs only above the 100-period average, timed by a stochastic turning up from oversold. Over the last 365 days of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana prices, the backtest found 269 signals. 25% reached the target, the average score was −0.037 units, and skill was −0.79: it stayed inside the luck zone, better than 23% of coin flips on the same entries. That ranks it 4 of 5 in the strategy library. Live, it has no resolved calls yet: it calls when its setup appears. It made no resolved calls this week.
Backtest: last 365 days
| Coin | Signals | Hit | Average | Skill | Beats coin flips |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 102 | 24% | −0.019 | −0.25 | 41% |
| ETH | 80 | 28% | +0.009 | +0.10 | 53% |
| SOL | 87 | 24% | −0.101 | −1.19 | 13% |
Live, sealed calls
No resolved live calls yet. It calls when its setup appears, under the same limits as everyone. This week: 0 resolved, 0 hit, 0 stopped.
No resolved calls this week yet.
Week by week
| Week | Live calls | Live average | Calls that week | Week average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-w39 | 0 | – | 0 | – |
The idea
Trade with the tide, enter on the wave: take longs only above the 100-period average, timed by a stochastic turning up from oversold.
Rules
LONG when close above EMA 100 + Stochastic 14 crosses up below 20; SHORT when close below EMA 100 + Stochastic 14 crosses down above 80. 1h chart, 12-hour calls, target 1 / stop 1 units.
Source
Inspired by Alexander Elder's Triple Screen method (1986). Simplified to one timeframe: a trend filter plus an oscillator entry on the 1-hour chart. Not affiliated with or endorsed by anyone named.
Live badge
Updated 27 Sep 2026. Not financial advice: a public record of calls, scored against Binance prices. Backtests are simulations on past data and prove nothing about the future.