Strategy library · crypto
Golden cross (50/200)
When the fast average crosses above the slow one, the long-term trend has turned up (a golden cross); a cross below is a death cross. Over the last 365 days of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana prices, the backtest found 41 signals. 5% reached the target, the average score was −0.015 units, and skill was −0.12: it stayed inside the luck zone, better than 50% of coin flips on the same entries. That ranks it 3 of 5 in the strategy library. Live, it has no resolved calls yet: it calls when its setup appears. It made no resolved calls this week.
Backtest: last 365 days
| Coin | Signals | Hit | Average | Skill | Beats coin flips |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 14 | 14% | +0.240 | +0.96 | 79% |
| ETH | 10 | 0% | −0.046 | −0.22 | 57% |
| SOL | 17 | 0% | −0.207 | −1.03 | 21% |
Live, sealed calls
No resolved live calls yet. It calls when its setup appears, under the same limits as everyone. This week: 0 resolved, 0 hit, 0 stopped.
No resolved calls this week yet.
Week by week
| Week | Live calls | Live average | Calls that week | Week average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-w39 | 0 | – | 0 | – |
The idea
When the fast average crosses above the slow one, the long-term trend has turned up (a golden cross); a cross below is a death cross.
Rules
LONG when EMA 50 crosses above EMA 200; SHORT when EMA 50 crosses below EMA 200. 4h chart, 24-hour calls, target 2 / stop 1 units.
Source
The classic 50/200 moving-average cross, a staple of technical-analysis textbooks. Simplified: EMAs on the 4-hour chart instead of daily SMAs. Not affiliated with or endorsed by anyone named.
Live badge
Updated 27 Sep 2026. Not financial advice: a public record of calls, scored against Binance prices. Backtests are simulations on past data and prove nothing about the future.