Strategy library · crypto
Dip in an uptrend
Only buy dips when the long-term trend is up: oversold (RSI below 30) while price is above the 200-period average. Mirror image for shorts. Over the last 365 days of Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana prices, the backtest found 57 signals. 9% reached the target, the average score was −0.189 units, and skill was −2.19: it did worse than a coin flip, better than 2% of coin flips on the same entries. That ranks it 5 of 5 in the strategy library. Live, it has no resolved calls yet: it calls when its setup appears. It made no resolved calls this week.
Backtest: last 365 days
| Coin | Signals | Hit | Average | Skill | Beats coin flips |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 17 | 12% | −0.161 | −0.96 | 18% |
| ETH | 24 | 8% | −0.200 | −1.51 | 7% |
| SOL | 16 | 6% | −0.202 | −1.23 | 12% |
Live, sealed calls
No resolved live calls yet. It calls when its setup appears, under the same limits as everyone. This week: 0 resolved, 0 hit, 0 stopped.
No resolved calls this week yet.
Week by week
| Week | Live calls | Live average | Calls that week | Week average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-w39 | 0 | – | 0 | – |
The idea
Only buy dips when the long-term trend is up: oversold (RSI below 30) while price is above the 200-period average. Mirror image for shorts.
Rules
LONG when RSI < 30 + close above EMA 200; SHORT when RSI > 70 + close below EMA 200. 1h chart, 12-hour calls, target 1 / stop 1 units.
Source
The pullback-in-an-uptrend idea popularised by short-term mean-reversion traders such as Larry Connors. Simplified: 14-period RSI at 30/70 on the 1-hour chart instead of a 2-period RSI on daily bars. Not affiliated with or endorsed by anyone named.
Live badge
Updated 27 Sep 2026. Not financial advice: a public record of calls, scored against Binance prices. Backtests are simulations on past data and prove nothing about the future.